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Future of the Angolan Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019

Published: Nov-2014 | Format: PDF | Strategic Defence Intelligence | Number of pages: 96 | Code: MRS - 1756

The Future of the Angolan Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with a detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings

Over the historic period, Angola’s defense expenditure registered a growth rate of 17.95%, increasing from US$3.5 billion in 2010 to US$6.8 billion in 2014
Angola’s military expenditure, valued at US$6.8 billion in 2014, is expected to increase to US$13.0 billion by 2019, registering a CAGR of 11.99% over the forecast period
Angolan military expenditure will be driven by troop expansion, as well as a revision in troop wage structure, in a bid to improve living standards along with military hardware modernization and border security plans
The Defense Ministry is expected to procure fighters and multi-role aircraft, naval vessels, and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs)

Synopsis

This report offers detailed analysis of the Angolan defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.


In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following: 

  • Angolan defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Angolan defense industry during 2015–2019, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country’s expenditure and modernization patterns 
  • Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country
  • Porter’s Five Force analysis of the Angolan defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitutions, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry 
  • Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country’s imports and exports over the last five years 
  • Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years
  • Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Angolan defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis


Reasons To Buy

  • This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Angolan defense industry market trends for the coming five years
  • The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period
  • Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector
  • A deep qualitative analysis of the Angolan defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter’s Five Forces Analysis,  Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table of Contents

1 Introduction

1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2 Executive Summary

3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities

3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Defense expenditure is projected to grow at a CAGR of 11.99% during the forecast period
3.1.2. Equipment modernization and the enhancement of border security are expected to drive defense expenditure
3.1.3. Defense budget as a percentage of GDP expected to average 6.7% over the forecast period
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Capital expenditure share in the defense budget to increase over the forecast period
3.2.2. Capital expenditure budget expected to increase during the forecast period
3.2.3. Angolan revenue expenditure expected to record a CAGR of 4.28% during the forecast period
3.2.4. Per-capita defense expenditure expected to increase during the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Homeland security budget projected to increase during the forecast period
3.3.2. Domestic security, human trafficking, and drug smuggling to drive the expenditure for homeland protection
3.3.3. Angola comes under ‘low risk affected category’ by terrorist attack
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. The country’s defense budget expected to remain modest during the forecast period
3.4.2. Angolan military expenditure is limited when compared to countries with the largest defense expenditure
3.4.3. Angola allocates a modest percentage of GDP to defense
3.4.4. Angola faces negligible threat from foreign terrorist organizations
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. Fighter & Multi-role Aircraft
3.5.2. Naval Vessels
3.5.3. Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs)

4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Imports into Angola expected to increase during the forecast period
4.1.2. Brazil and Moldova were the key defense suppliers to Angola
4.1.3. Aircraft were the major defense imports during the historic period
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Angola does not export arms due to its under-developed domestic arms industry

5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: low to high
5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: medium
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: medium
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: high
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: medium to high

6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Angola does not disclose any offset obligations imposed by the country
6.1.2. FDI in defense sector prohibited by the Angolan government
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Direct selling is the preferred market entry route for foreign OEMs
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Corruption poses as an obstacle for market entry
6.3.2. Low allocation to capital expenditure attracts less suppliers

7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Key Companies
7.1.1. Sukhoi: overview
7.1.2. Sukhoi: products
7.1.3. Sukhoi: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.1.4. KBP Instrument Design Bureau – overview
7.1.5. KBP Instrument Design Bureau – major products and services
7.1.6. KBP Instrument Design Bureau – recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.1.7. Oboronprom Corporation – overview
7.1.8. Oboronprom Corporation – major products and services
7.1.9. Oboronprom Corporation – recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.1.10. Oboronprom Corporation – alliances
7.1.11. Oboronprom Corporation – recent contract wins

8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics & Social Statistics
8.1.1. Population – Rural
8.1.2. Population - Urban
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. Gross Domestic per Capita
8.2.2. Gross Domestic Product, current US$
8.2.3. Exports of Goods and Services
8.2.4. Imports of Goods and Services
8.2.5. Manufacturing Output
8.2.6. Consumer Price Index
8.2.7. Local Currency Unit per US$
8.2.8. Local Currency Unit per EUR
8.2.9. Lending Rate (%)
8.2.10. Deposit Rate (%)
8.2.11. Real Interest Rate (%)
8.2.12. Goods Exports as a % of GDP
8.2.13. Goods Imports as a % of GDP
8.2.14. Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as a % of GDP
8.2.15. Services Imports as a % of GDP
8.2.16. Services Exports as a % of GDP
8.2.17. Services trade surplus/deficit as a % of GDP
8.2.18. International reserves, including Gold
8.3. Energy and Utilities
8.3.1. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
8.3.3. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity
8.3.4. Proved Reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic Feet)
8.3.5. Total Petroleum Consumption
8.4. Infrastructure Quality and Availability
8.4.1. Rail lines (total route-km)
8.4.2. Air Transport, freight (million ton-km)
8.5. Mineral
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
8.6. Telecommunication
8.6.1. Telephone lines
8.6.2. Telephone lines Penetration Rate

9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables

Table 1: Angolan Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2010–2014
Table 2: Angolan Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2015–2019
Table 3: Angolan Defense Expenditure (AOA Billion), 2010–2014
Table 4: Angolan Defense Expenditure (AOA Billion), 2015–2019
Table 5: Angolan GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2010–2014
Table 6: Angolan GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2015–2019
Table 7: Angolan GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2010–2014
Table 8: Angolan GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2015–2019
Table 9: Angolan Defense Budget Split between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2010–2014
Table 10: Angolan Defense Budget Split between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2015–2019
Table 11: Angolan Capital Budget Allocation (US$ Billion), 2010–2014
Table 12: Angolan Capital Budget Allocation (US$ Billion), 2015–2019
Table 13: Angolan Capital Budget Allocation (AOA Billion), 2010–2014
Table 14: Angolan Capital Budget Allocation (AOA Billion), 2015–2019
Table 15: Angolan Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ billion), 2010–2014
Table 16: Angolan Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ billion), 2015–2019
Table 17: Angolan Defense Revenue Expenditure (AOA billion), 2010–2014
Table 18: Angolan Defense Revenue Expenditure (AOA billion), 2015–2019
Table 19: Angolan Per-Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2010–2014
Table 20: Angolan Per-Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2015–2019
Table 21: Angolan Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2010–2014
Table 22: Angolan Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2015–2019
Table 23: Angolan Homeland Security Budget (AOA Billion), 2010–2014
Table 24: Angolan Homeland Security Budget (AOA Billion), 2015–2019
Table 25: Benchmarking with Key Markets – 2010–2014 vs. 2015–2019
Table 26: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 27: Sukhoi – Major Products & Services
Table 28: KBP Instrument Design Bureau – Major Products & Services
Table 29: Oboronprom Corporation – Major Products & Services
Table 30: Oboronprom Corporation – Alliances
Table 31: Oboronprom Corporation – Recent Contract Wins

List of Figures

Figure 1: Angolan Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2010–2014
Figure 2: Angolan Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2015–2019
Figure 3: Angolan Defense Expenditure (AOA Billion), 2010–2014
Figure 4: Angolan Defense Expenditure ( AOA Billion), 2015–2019
Figure 5: Angolan GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2010–2014
Figure 6: Angolan GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2015–2019
Figure 7: Angolan GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2010–2014
Figure 8: Angolan GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2015–2019
Figure 9: Angolan Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2010–2014
Figure 10: Angolan Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2015–2019
Figure 11: Angolan Capital Budget Allocation (US$ Billion), 2010–2014
Figure 12: Angolan Capital Budget Allocation (US$ Billion), 2015–2019
Figure 13: Angolan Capital Budget Allocation (AOA Billion), 2010–2014
Figure 14: Angolan Capital Budget Allocation (AOA Billion), 2015–2019
Figure 15: Angolan Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ billion), 2010–2014
Figure 16: Angolan Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ billion), 2015–2019
Figure 17: Angolan Defense Revenue Expenditure (AOA  billion), 2010–2014
Figure 18: Angolan Defense Revenue Expenditure (AOA billion), 2015–2019
Figure 19: Angolan Per-Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2010–2014
Figure 20: Angolan Per-Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2015–2019
Figure 21: Angolan Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2010–2014
Figure 22: Angolan Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2015–2019
Figure 23: Angolan Homeland Security Budget (AOA Billion), 2010–2014
Figure 24: Angolan Homeland Security Budget (AOA Billion), 2015–2019
Figure 25: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2014
Figure 26: SDI Terrorism Index, 2014
Figure 27: Benchmarking with Key Markets – 2010–2014 vs. 2015–2019
Figure 28: Defense Expenditure of the World’s Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2014 and 2019
Figure 29: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2014
Figure 30: Angolan Defense Import Trend, 2009–2013 (TIV values)
Figure 31: Angolan Defense Imports by Country (%), 2009–2013
Figure 32: Angolan Defense Imports by Weapon Category (%), 2009–2013
Figure 33: Industry Dynamics – Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
Figure 34: Angola’s Population – Rural (In Millions), 2014–2023
Figure 35: Angola’s Population – Urban (In Millions), 2014–2023
Figure 36: Angola’s GDP per capita (US$), 2014–2023
Figure 37: Angola’s Gross Domestic Product (current US$ Billion), 2014–2023
Figure 38: Angola’s Exports of goods and services (current US$ Billion), 2002–2011
Figure 39: Angola’s Imports of goods and services (current US$ Billion), 2002–2011
Figure 40: Angola’s Manufacturing Output (US$ Billion), 2003–2012
Figure 41: Angola’s Consumer Price Index, 2014–2023
Figure 42: Angola’s LCU per US$, 2014–2023
Figure 43: Angola’s LCU per EUR, 2014–2023
Figure 44: Angola’s Lending Rate (%), 2002–2011
Figure 45: Angola’s Deposit Rate (%), 2002–2011
Figure 46: Angola’s Real Interest Rate (%), 2002–2011
Figure 47: Angola’s Goods Exports as a % of GDP, 2001–2010
Figure 48: Angola’s Goods Imports as a % of GDP, 2001–2010
Figure 49: Angola’s Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as a % of GDP, 2001–2010
Figure 50: Angola’s Services Imports as a % of GDP, 2001–2010
Figure 51: Angola’s Services Exports as a % of GDP, 2001–2010
Figure 52: Angola’s Services trade surplus/deficit as a % of GDP, 2001–2010
Figure 53: Angola’s International reserves, including Gold (US$ Billion), 2002–2011
Figure 54: Angola’s Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt Hours), 2002–2011
Figure 55: Angola’s Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion KWH), 2001–2010
Figure 56: Angola’s Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million
Figure 57: Angola’s Proved Reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic Feet), 2004–2013
Figure 58: Angola’s Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day), 2003–2012
Figure 59: Angola’s Rail lines (total route-km), 2002–2011
Figure 60: Angola’s Air Transport, freight (million ton-km), 2002–2011
Figure 61: Angolan Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ Billion), 2003–2012
Figure 62: Angola’s Telephone lines, 2003–2012
Figure 63: Angola’s Telephone lines Penetration Rate, (Per 100 People), 2003–2012

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