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Future of the Bangladeshi Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape, and Forecasts to 2019

Published: Dec-2014 | Format: PDF | Strategic Defence Intelligence | Number of pages: 113 | Code: MRS - 2115

The Future of the Bangladeshi Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape, and Forecasts to 2019 published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with a detailed analysis of both historic and forecast industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

​​​​​​​Key Findings

  • Bangladeshi defense expenditure recorded a CAGR of 8.71% between 2010 and 2014, and valuesUS$2.2 billion in 2014
  • The country’s total defense expenditure during the forecast period is expected to be US$13.7billion
  • The average share of capital expenditure is expected to be 31.3% over the forecast period, compared to an average share of 28.4% during 2010–2014
  • Over the forecast period, the country’s budget for homeland security is expected to be US$9.4 billion cumulatively
  • The key areas of investment are expected to be aircraft, helicopters, naval vessels, and surveillance equipment

Synopsis

This report offers a detailed analysis of the Bangladeshi defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following: 

  • Bangladeshi defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Bangladeshi defense industry during 2015–2019, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country’s spending patterns and modernization patterns 
  • Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country
  • Porter’s Five Force analysis of the Bangladeshi defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyer, the threat of substitutions, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry 
  • Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country’s imports and exports over the last five years 
  • Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years
  • Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Bangladeshi defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy

  • This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Bangladeshi defense industry market trends for the coming five years
  • The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements, which are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern of the country during the forecast period
  • Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector
  • A deep qualitative analysis of the Bangladeshi defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter’s Five Force Analysis,  Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts, among others
Table of Contents
 
 
1 Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
 
 
2 Executive Summary
 
 
3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Bangladeshi defense budget to grow at a CAGR of 8.71% over the forecast period
3.1.2. Military modernization and peacekeeping missions are expected to drive defense expenditure over the forecast period
3.1.3. Bangladeshi defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP set to decrease over the forecast period
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Share of capital expenditure to average 31.3%over 2015–2019
3.2.2. Need to replace obsolete equipment to drive defense capital expenditure
3.2.3. The Army accounts for the majority share of defense expenditure
3.2.4. The country is expected to invest US$7.4 billion in its army during the forecast period
3.2.5. Air force defense budget projected to grow at a CAGR of 9.25% during the forecast period
3.2.6. Navy expenditure expected to register CAGR of 8.12% during the forecast period
3.2.7. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Bangladeshi homeland security expected to be US$9.4 billion over the forecast period
3.3.2. Efforts to combat drug smuggling and human trafficking are expected to stimulate Bangladeshi homeland security expenditure
3.3.3. Bangladesh falls under the “some risk” category
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Bangladeshi defense budget expected to increase at a CAGR of 8.71% over the forecast period
3.4.2. Bangladeshi military expenditure remains very low compared to other Asian countries
3.4.3. The country allocates a low percentage of its GDP towards defense sector
3.4.4. Bangladesh faces some threat from terrorist organizations
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. Patrolling crafts are forecast to experience an increase in demand
3.5.2. Demand for aircraft expected to surge during the forecast period
3.5.3. Demand for helicopters to mount in the coming years
 
 
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Defense imports are expected to increase over the period 2015–2019
4.1.2. Weapons manufactured in China comprised the majority of imports for Bangladesh
4.1.3. Armored vehicles and ships dominated military hardware imports
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. The country exported negligible defense goods during 2010–2013
 
 
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: high
5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: low
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: medium
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: low to high
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: medium to high
 
 
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Bangladesh does not disclose any offset obligations imposed by the country
6.1.2. Foreign direct investment (FDI) in the defense sector not disclosed by the government
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Equipment manufacturers enter the market through government-to-government deals
6.2.2. Joint venture and license manufacturing agreements provide an attractive market entry route
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Limited defense budget deters investors from market entry
6.3.2. Corruption hinders growth of the Bangladeshi defense sector
6.3.3. Chinese companies dominate the market, creating a challenge for other foreign firms
 
 
7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.2. Key Companies
7.2.1. Bangladesh Ordnance Factories: overview
7.2.2. Bangladesh Ordnance Factories: products
7.2.3. Bangladesh Machine Tools Factory (BMTF) Ltd: overview
7.2.4. Bangladesh Machine Tools Factory: products
7.2.5. AgustaWestland: overview
7.2.6. AgustaWestland: products
7.2.7. AgustaWestland: recent contract wins
7.2.8. Eurocopter: overview
7.2.9. Eurocopter: products
7.2.10. Eurocopter: recent contract wins
 
 
8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics & Social Statistics
8.1.1. Population – Rural
8.1.2. Population - Urban
8.1.3. Population – Number of Households
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. Gross Domestic per Capita
8.2.2. Gross Domestic Product, current US$
8.2.3. Exports of Goods and Services
8.2.4. Imports of Goods and Services
8.2.5. Gross National Disposable Income
8.2.6. Manufacturing Output
8.2.7. Consumer Price Index
8.2.8. Local Currency Unit per US$
8.2.9. Local Currency Unit per EUR
8.2.10. Lending Rate (%)
8.2.11. Deposit Rate (%)
8.2.12. Real Interest Rate (%)
8.2.13. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies
8.2.14. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies as a % of GDP
8.2.15. Total Government cash surplus/deficit (LCU Bn)
8.2.16. Government cash surplus/deficit as % of GDP (LCU)
8.2.17. Goods Exports as a % of GDP
8.2.18. Goods Imports as a % of GDP
8.2.19. Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as a % of GDP
8.2.20. Services Imports as a % of GDP
8.2.21. Services Exports as a % of GDP
8.2.22. Services surplus/deficit as a % of GDP
8.2.23. Net Foreign Direct Investment
8.2.24. Net FDI as a % of GDP
8.2.25. International reserves, including Gold
8.3. Energy and Utilities
8.3.1. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
8.3.3. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity
8.3.4. Proved Reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic Feet)
8.3.5. Total Petroleum Consumption
8.3.6. Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels)
8.3.7. Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts)
8.4. Infrastructure Quality and Availability
8.4.1. Rail lines (total route-km)
8.5. Minerals
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
8.6. Telecommunication
8.6.1. Telephone lines
8.6.2. Telephone lines Penetration Rate
 
 
9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer
 
 

List of Tables

 

Table 1: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2010–2014
Table 2: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2015–2019
Table 3: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure (BDT Billion), 2010–2014
Table 4: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure (BDT Billion), 2015–2019
Table 5: Bangladeshi GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2010–2014
Table 6: Bangladeshi GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2015–2019
Table 7: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2010–2014
Table 8: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2015–2019
Table 9: Bangladeshi Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ million), 2010–2014
Table 10: Bangladeshi Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ million), 2015–2019
Table 11: Bangladeshi Capital Expenditure (BDT Billion), 2010–2014
Table 12: Bangladeshi Capital Expenditure (BDT Billion), 2015–2019
Table 13: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation (%), 2010–2014
Table 14: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation (%),2015–2019
Table 15: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Army  (US$ Million), 2010–2014
Table 16: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Army  (US$ Million), 2015–2019
Table 17: Bangladeshi Expenditure for Army  (BDT Billion), 2010–2014
Table 18: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure for Army  (BDT Billion), 2015–2019
Table 19: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Air Force  (US$ Million), 2010–2014
Table 20: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Air Force  (US$ Million), 2015–2019
Table 21: Bangladeshi Expenditure for Air Force (BDT Billion), 2010–2014
Table 22: Bangladeshi Expenditure for Air Force (BDT Billion), 2015–2019
Table 23: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Navy (US$ Million), 2010–2014
Table 24: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Navy (US$ Million), 2015–2019
Table 25: Bangladeshi Expenditure for Navy (BDT Billion), 2010–2014
Table 26: Bangladeshi Expenditure for Navy (BDT Billion), 2015–2019
Table 27: Bangladeshi Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2010–2014
Table 28: Bangladeshi Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2015–2019
Table 29: Bangladeshi Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion),2010–2014
Table 30: Bangladeshi Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2015–2019
Table 31: Bangladeshi Homeland Security Budget (BDT Billion), 2010–2014
Table 32: Bangladeshi Homeland Security Budget (BDT Billion), 2015–2019
Table 33: Benchmarking with Key Markets – 2010–2014 vs. 2015–2019
Table34: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 35: Bangladesh Ordnance Factories – Key Products and Services
Table 36: Bangladesh Machine Tools Factory – Key Products and Services
Table 37: AgustaWestland – Key Products and Services
Table 38: AgustaWestland – Recent Contracts
Table 39: Eurocopter– Key Products and Services
Table 40: Eurocopter – Recent Contracts


 

List of Figures

 

Figure 1: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2010–2014
Figure 2: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2015–2019
Figure 3: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure (BDT Billion), 2010–2014
Figure 4: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure (BDT Billion), 2015–2019
Figure 5: Bangladeshi GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditures  Percentage of GDP Growth, 2010–2014
Figure 6: Bangladeshi GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as  Percentage of GDP Growth, 2015–2019
Figure 7:Bangladeshi Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2010–2014
Figure 8:Bangladeshi Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2015–2019
Figure 9: Bangladeshi Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ million), 2010–2014
Figure 10: Bangladeshi Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ million), 2015–2019
Figure 11: Bangladeshi Capital Expenditure (BDT Billion), 2010–2014
Figure 12: Bangladeshi Capital Expenditure (BDT Billion), 2015–2019
Figure 13: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation (%),2010–2014
Figure 14: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation (%),2015–2019
Figure 15: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Army  (US$ Million), 2010–2014
Figure 16: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Army  (US$ Million), 2015–2019
Figure 17: Bangladeshi Expenditure for Army  (BDT Billion), 2010–2014
Figure 18: Bangladeshi Defense Expenditure for Army  (BDT Billion), 2015–2019
Figure 19: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Air Force  (US$ Million), 2010–2014
Figure 20: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Air Force  (US$ Million), 2015–2019
Figure 21: Bangladeshi Expenditure for Air Force (BDT Billion), 2010–2014
Figure 22: Bangladeshi Expenditure for Air Force (BDT Billion), 2015–2019
Figure 23: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Navy (US$ Million), 2010–2014
Figure 24: Bangladeshi Defense Budget Allocation for Navy (US$ Million), 2015–2019
Figure 25: Bangladeshi Expenditure for Navy (BDT Billion), 2010–2014
Figure 26: Bangladeshi Expenditure for Navy (BDT Billion), 2015–2019
Figure 27: Bangladeshi Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2010–2014
Figure 28: Bangladeshi Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2015–2019
Figure 29: Bangladeshi Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion),2010–2014
Figure 30: Bangladeshi Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2015–2019
Figure 31: Bangladeshi Homeland Security Budget (BDT Billion), 2010–2014
Figure 32: Bangladeshi Homeland Security Budget (BDT Billion), 2015–2019
Figure 33: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2014
Figure 34: SDI Terrorism Index, 2014
Figure 35: Benchmarking with Key Markets – 2010–2014 vs. 2015–2019
Figure 36: Defense Expenditure of the World’s Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2014 and 2019
Figure 37: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2014
Figure 38: Bangladeshi Defense Import Trend, 2010–2013 (TIV values)
Figure 39: Bangladeshi Defense Imports by Country (%), 2010–2013
Figure 40: Bangladeshi Defense Imports by Category (%), 2010–2013
Figure 41: Industry Dynamics - Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
Figure 42: Bangladeshi Population – Rural (In Millions), 2014–2023
Figure 43: Bangladeshi Population – Urban (In Millions), 2014–2023
Figure 44: Bangladeshi Population – Number of Households (In Millions), 2008–2017
Figure 45: Bangladeshi GDP per capita at Constant Prices (US$), 2014–2023
Figure 46: Bangladeshi Gross Domestic Product (current US$ Bn),2014–2023
Figure 47: Bangladeshi Exports of goods and services (current US$ Bn), 2003–2012
Figure 48: Bangladeshi Imports of goods and services (current US$ Bn), 2003–2012
Figure 49: Bangladeshi Gross National Disposable Income (US$ Bn), 2002–2011
Figure 50: Bangladeshi Manufacturing Output (US$ Bn), 2003–2012
Figure 51: Bangladeshi Consumer Price Index, 2014–2023
Figure 52: Bangladeshi LCU per US$, 2014–2023
Figure 53: Bangladeshi LCU per EUR, 2014–2023
Figure 54: Bangladeshi Lending Rate (%), 2003–2012
Figure 55: Bangladeshi Deposit Rate (%), 2003–2012
Figure 56: Bangladeshi Real Interest Rate (%), 2003–2012
Figure 57: Bangladeshi Market Capitalization of listed Companies (US$ Bn), 2003–2012
Figure 58: Bangladeshi Market Capitalization of listed Companies as a % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 59: Bangladeshi Total Government cash surplus/deficit (LCU Bn), 2002–2011
Figure 60: Bangladeshi Government cash surplus/deficit as % of GDP (LCU), 2002–2011
Figure 61: Bangladeshi Goods Exports as a % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 62: Bangladeshi Goods Imports as a % of GDP,2002–2011
Figure 63: Bangladeshi Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as a % of GDP, 2003–2011
Figure 64: Bangladeshi Services Imports as a % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 65: Bangladeshi Services Exports as a % of GDP, 2003–2011
Figure 66: Bangladeshi Services surplus/deficit as a % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 67: Bangladeshi Net Foreign Direct Investment (current US$ BN), 2002–2011
Figure 68: Bangladeshi Net FDI as a % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 69: Bangladeshi International reserves, including Gold (US$ Bn), 2002–2011
Figure 70: Bangladeshi Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Bn KWH), 2002–2011
Figure 71: Bangladeshi Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Bn KWH), 2002–2011
Figure 72: Bangladeshi Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts), 2001–2010
Figure 73: Bangladeshi Proved Reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic Feet), 2004–2013
Figure 74: Bangladeshi Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels per Day), 2003–2012
Figure 75: Bangladeshi Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels), 2004–2013
Figure 76: Bangladeshi Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts), 2002–2011
Figure 77: Bangladeshi Rail lines (total route-km), 2002–2011
Figure 78: Bangladeshi Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output(US$ Bn), 2003–2012
Figure 79: Bangladeshi Telephone lines, 2003–2012
Figure 80: Bangladeshi Telephone lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people), 2002–2011

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