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Future of the Swiss Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019

Published: Nov-2014 | Format: PDF | Strategic Defence Intelligence | Number of pages: 116 | Code: MRS - 1754

The Future of the Swiss Defense Industry – Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019, published by Strategic Defense Intelligence, provides readers with a detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings

  • Over the historic period, Swiss defense expenditure registered a growth rate of 4.88%, increasing  from US$4.2 billion in 2010 to US$5.1 billion in 2014
  • Switzerland’s military expenditure, valued at US$4.9 billion in 2015, is expected to decrease to US$4.5 billion by 2019, registering a CAGR of -2.57% over the forecast period
  • Switzerland’s military expenditure will be driven by the procurement of better defense systems and participation in peace keeping and conflict resolution operations
  • The Defense Ministry is expected to procure UAV’s, multi-role aircraft MRO and cyber security


Synopsis

This report offers detailed analysis of Switzerland’s defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following: 

  • Swiss defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Swiss defense industry during 2015–2019, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the country’s expenditure and modernization patterns 
  • Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country
  • Porter’s Five Force analysis of the Swiss defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitutions, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry 
  • Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the country’s imports and exports over the last five years 
  • Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years
  • Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Swiss defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis


Reasons To Buy

  • This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Swiss defense industry market trends for the coming five years
  • The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period
  • Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector
  • A deep qualitative analysis of the Swiss defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porter’s Five Forces Analysis,  Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts
Table of Contents

1 Introduction

1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.3.1. Secondary Research
1.3.2. Primary Research
1.3.3. Conventions
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About SDI
1.6. About Strategic Defence Intelligence

2 Executive Summary

3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Swiss defense expenditure to be US$22.4 billion over the forecast period
3.1.2. Spending to be driven by procurement of better defense systems and peace-support programs
3.1.3. Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP to decline during the forecast period
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Capital expenditure share of the overall defense budget is expected to decrease during the forecast period
3.2.2. Swiss defense capital expenditure expected to be US$7.1 billion during the forecast period
3.2.3. Swiss revenue expenditure expected to record a CAGR of -2.75% during the forecast period
3.2.4. Per-capita defense expenditure likely to decrease during the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Switzerland is expected to invest US$11.4 billion on homeland security during the forecast period
3.3.2. Homeland security expenditure to be driven by efforts to counter organized crime and terrorist financing
3.3.3. Switzerland faces a low level of threat from foreign terrorist organizations
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Swiss defense expenditure is expected to remain modest during the forecast period
3.4.2. Switzerland’s defense expenditure is expected to remain low compared to other leading spenders
3.4.3. Defense budget as a percentage of GDP expected to remain low on a global scale
3.4.4. Switzerland has a moderate per-capita defense expenditure
3.4.5. Switzerland faces negligible threat from foreign terrorist organizations
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. Demand for UAV’s expected to surge over the forecast period
3.5.2. Demand for Multi-role aircraft MRO to soar over the forecast period
3.5.3. Need of better cyber security to remain high in the coming years

4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Defense imports expected to increase during the forecast period
4.1.2. Swiss defense sourced the majority of its arms from Germany
4.1.3. Aircraft accounted for the majority of defense imports during 2009–2013
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Swiss defense exports registered a decline post 2011
4.2.2. Switzerland supplies defense equipment to a diverse consumer base
4.2.3. Aircraft accounted for the majority of the country’s defense exports in 2009-2013

5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining Power of Supplier: low to medium
5.1.2. Bargaining Power of Buyer: medium to high
5.1.3. Barrier to Entry: low to high
5.1.4. Intensity of Rivalry: medium to high
5.1.5. Threat of Substitution: low to high

6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Offset policy requires suppliers to invest 100% of the contract value into the Swiss economy
6.1.2. Swiss defense industry open to foreign direct investment
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Foreign defense companies enter the market via acquisitions or alliances
6.2.2. Establishment of subsidiary or operating unit in Switzerland
6.2.3. Entering into joint ventures
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Switzerland’s armed neutrality challenging for defense foreign companies
6.3.2. Economic instability to restrict defense expenditure

7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.2. Key Private Sector Operators
7.2.1. Pilatus Group: overview
7.2.2. Pilatus Group: defense products
7.2.3. Pilatus Group: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4. Pilatus Group: alliances
7.2.5. Pilatus Group: recent contract awards
7.2.6. RUAG Defense: overview
7.2.7. RUAG Defense: products
7.2.8. RUAG Defense: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.9. RUAG Defense: alliances
7.2.10. Thales: overview
7.2.11. Thales: products
7.2.12. General Dynamics European Land Systems: overview
7.2.13. General Dynamics European Land Systems: defense products
7.2.14. General Dynamics European Land Systems: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.15. General Dynamics European Land Systems: alliances
7.2.16. General Dynamics European Land Systems: recent contract wins
7.2.17. Rheinmetall Air Defense AG: overview
7.2.18. Rheinmetall Air Defense AG: products
7.2.19. Rheinmetall Air Defense AG: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.20. Rheinmetall Air Defense: alliances
7.2.21. Rheinmetall Air Defense AG: recent contract wins
7.2.22. Atos AG: overview
7.2.23. Atos AG: defense products
7.2.24. Meteolabor AG: overview
7.2.25. Meteolabor AG: products

8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics & Social Statistics
8.1.1. Total Rural Population
8.1.2. Total Urban Population
8.1.3. Number of households
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. GDP Per Capita
8.2.2. GDP, Current Prices
8.2.3. Consumer Price Index
8.2.4. Wholesale Price Index
8.2.5. Local Currency Unit per US$
8.2.6. Local Currency Unit per EUR
8.2.7. Lending Rate (%)
8.2.8. Deposit Rate (%)
8.2.9. Real Interest Rate (%)
8.2.10. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies
8.2.11. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP)
8.2.12. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit
8.2.13. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.14. Central Government Debt
8.2.15. Central Government Debt as % of GDP
8.2.16. Goods exports as % of GDP
8.2.17. Goods imports as % of GDP
8.2.18. Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.19. Service Imports as % of GDP
8.2.20. Service Exports as % of GDP
8.2.21. Service Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.22. Foreign Direct Investment
8.2.23. Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP
8.2.24. International reserves, including gold
8.3. Energy and Utilities
8.3.1. Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
8.3.3. Nuclear Electricity Net Generation
8.3.4. Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity
8.3.5. Electricity Exports
8.3.6. Electricity Imports
8.3.7. Petroleum Consumption
8.3.8. Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation
8.4. Infrastructure
8.4.1. Road, Total network
8.4.2. Rail Lines
8.4.3. Air transport, freight
8.5. Minerals
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
8.6. Technology
8.6.1. Patents Granted
8.7. Telecommunication
8.7.1. Telephone Lines
8.7.2. Telephone Lines Penetration Rate

9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables


Table 1: Swiss Defense Expenditure (US$ billions), 2010-2014
Table 2: Swiss Defense Expenditure (US$ billions), 2015–2019
Table 3: Swiss Defense Expenditure (CHF billion), 2010-2014
Table 4: Swiss Defense Expenditure (CHF billion), 2015–2019
Table 5: Swiss GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2010–2014
Table 6: Swiss GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as  Percentage of GDP Growth, 2015–2019
Table 7: Swiss GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2010–2014
Table 8: Swiss GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as  Percentage of GDP Growth, 2015–2019
Table 9: Swiss Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2010–2014
Table 10: Swiss Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2015–2019
Table 11: Swiss Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2010–2014
Table 12: Swiss Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2015–2019
Table 13: Swiss Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ billion), 2010–2014
Table 14: Swiss Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ billion), 2015–2019
Table 15: Swiss Per-Capita Defense Expenditure (US$ millions), 2010–2014
Table 16: Swiss Per-Capita Defense Expenditure (US$ millions), 2015–2019
Table 17: Swiss Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2010–2014
Table 18: Swiss Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2015–2019
Table 19: Swiss Homeland Security Budget (CHF billion), 2010–2014
Table 20: Swiss Homeland Security Budget (CHF billion), 2015–2019
Table 21: Benchmarking with Key Markets – 2010–2014 vs. 2015–2019
Table 22: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 23: Offset Regulations in Switzerland
Table 24: Pilatus Group – Product Focus
Table 25: Pilatus Group: Alliances
Table 26: Pilatus Group: Recent Contract Awards
Table 27: RUAG Defense– Product Focus
Table 28: RUAG Defense: Alliances
Table 29: Thales – Product Focus
Table 30: General Dynamics European Land Systems – Product Focus
Table 31: General Dynamics European Land Systems: Alliances
Table 32: General Dynamics European Land Systems: Recent Contract Wins
Table 33: Rheinmetall Air Defense AG – Product Focus
Table 34: Rheinmetall Air Defense: Alliances
Table 35: Rheinmetall Air Defense: Recent Contract Wins
Table 36: Atos AG – Product Focus
Table 37: Meteolabor AG – Product Focus

List of Figures

Figure 1: Swiss Defense Expenditure (US$ billions), 2010–2014
Figure 2: Swiss Defense Expenditure (US$ billions), 2015–2019
Figure 3: Swiss Defense Expenditure (CHF billion), 2010–2014
Figure 4: Swiss Defense Expenditure (CHF billion), 2015–2019
Figure 5: Swiss GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2010–2014
Figure 6: Swiss GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP Growth, 2015–2019
Figure 7: Swiss GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2010–2014
Figure 8: Swiss GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP Growth, 2015–2019
Figure 9: Swiss Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2010–2014
Figure 10: Swiss Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2015–2019
Figure 11: Swiss Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2010–2014
Figure 12: Swiss Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2015–2019
Figure 13: Swiss Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ billion), 2010–2014
Figure 14: Swiss Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ billion), 2015–2019
Figure 15: Swiss Per-Capita Defense Expenditure (US$ millions), 2010–2014
Figure 16: Swiss Per-Capita Defense Expenditure (US$ millions), 2015–2019
Figure 17: Swiss Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2010–2014
Figure 18: Swiss Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2015–2019
Figure 19: Swiss Defense Imports by Country (%), 2009–2013
Figure 20: Swiss Defense Imports by Category (%), 2009–2013
Figure 21: Swiss Defense Exports Trend (US$ Million), 2009–2013
Figure 22: Swiss Defense Exports by Country (%), 2009–2013
Figure 23: Swiss Defense Exports by Category (%), 2009–2013
Figure 24: Industry Dynamics Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
Figure 25: Swiss Rural Population (In Millions), 2010–2019
Figure 26: Swiss Urban Population (In Millions), 2010–2019
Figure 27: Swiss Number of Households (In Millions), 2008–2017
Figure 28: Swiss GDP, Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2010–2019
Figure 29: Local Currency per US$, 2009–2018
Figure 30: Local Currency per EUR, 2008–2017
Figure 31: Lending Rate (%), 2002–2011
Figure 32: Deposit Rate (%), 2002–2011
Figure 33: Real Interest Rate (%), 2002–2011
Figure 34: Swiss Government Cash Surplus/Deficit (LCU Billion), 2001–2008
Figure 35: Swiss Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP, 2000–2008
Figure 36: Swiss Central Government Debt (LCU Bn), 2001–2008
Figure 37: Swiss Central Government Debt as % of GDP, 2000–2008
Figure 38: Swiss Goods Exports as % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 39: Swiss Goods Imports as % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 40: Swiss Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 41: Swiss Service Imports as % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 42: Swiss Service Exports as % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 43: Swiss Service Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 44: Swiss Foreign Direct Investment (US$ Billion), 2002–2011
Figure 45: Swiss Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP, 2002–2011
Figure 46: Swiss International reserves, including gold (US$ Billion), 2002–2011
Figure 47: Swiss  Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2002–2011
Figure 48: Swiss Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2002–2011
Figure 49: Swiss Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2002–2011
Figure 50: Swiss Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts),    2001–2010
Figure 51: Swiss Electricity Exports (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2002–2011
Figure 52: Swiss Electricity Imports (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2002–2011
Figure 53: Swiss Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day), 2003–2012
Figure 54: Swiss Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts), 2002–2011
Figure 55: Swiss Roadways (km), 2003–2010
Figure 56: Swiss Rail Lines (km), 2002–2011
Figure 57: Swiss Air transport freight (million ton-km), 2002–2011
Figure 58: Swiss Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ Billion), 2002–2011
Figure 59: Swiss Patents Granted, 2003–2012
Figure 60: Swiss Telephone Lines (In Million), 2002–2011
Figure 61: Swiss Telephone Lines Penetration Rate (Per 100 People), 2002–2011

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