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The 2G, 3G & 4G Wireless Network Infrastructure Market: 2012 - 2017

Published: Dec-2012 | Format: PDF | SNS Telecom & IT | Number of pages: 151 | Code: MRS - 785

The wireless network infrastructure market is currently in a phase of transition as mobile network operators seek to address increasing mobile traffic demands amidst global economic uncertainties. This paradigm shift is bringing new challenges and opportunities to infrastructure vendors.

In 2011, global 2G , 3G and 4G wireless infrastructure revenues stood at $45.9 billion. Signals and Systems Telecom estimates that these revenues will increase 8 percent year on year (YOY) reaching $49.7 billion by end of 2012, primarily driven by LTE investments. However, between 2012 and 2017, the market is expected to shrink to $48.6 billion.

Although, the new wave of 4G macrocell Radio Access Network (RAN) and core network investments will not be able to compensate the overall declines in 2G and 3G equipment sales, operators are expected to significantly increase their spending in the evolving small cell and carrier WiFi equipment market. Small cell and WiFi offload equipment will represent a market worth $5.4 billion in 2017. Consequently the small cell and WiFi offload market segment is attracting considerable attention from both established vendors as well as startups which solely focus on the small cell market.

This report provides an in-depth assessment of the 2G, 3G and 4G wireless network infrastructure market, and also explores the small cell and WiFi offload, and the mobile backhaul markets. Besides analyzing the key market drivers, challenges, regional CAPEX commitments and vendor strategies, the report also presents revenue and unit shipment forecasts for the wireless network infrastructure, small cell and WiFi offload, and the mobile backhaul markets from 2012 to 2017 at a regional as well as a global scale. Historical figures and vendor shares are also provided for 2010 and 2011.

Table of Contents

1 Chapter 1: Introduction
1.1 Executive Summary
1.2 Topics Covered
1.3 Key Questions Answered
1.4 Key Findings
1.5 Methodology
1.6 Target Audience
1.7 Companies Mentioned

2 Chapter 2: An Overview of the Wireless Infrastructure Market
2.1 2G (GSM and CDMA)
2.1.1 2G Trends & Developments
2.1.2 2G Market Summary
2.2 3G (WCDMA, TD-SCDMA and CDMA 2000)
2.2.1 3G Trends and Developments
2.2.2 3G Market Summary
2.3 4G (LTE and WiMAX)
2.3.1 4G Trends and Developments
2.3.2 4G Market Summary
2.4 RAN Market for 2G/3G/4G
2.4.1 RAN Trends and Developments
2.4.1.1 C-RAN
2.4.1.2 HetNets
2.5 Mobile Core Network for 2G/3G/4G
2.5.1 Mobile Core Trends and Developments
2.5.2 Summary
2.6 Backhaul
2.6.1 Backhaul Trends and Developments
2.6.2 Summary
2.7 WiFi Offload
2.7.1 Wi-Fi Trends and Developments
2.7.2 Wi-Fi Summary
2.8 Small Cell Market
2.8.1 Femtocell
2.8.2 Picocell
2.8.3 Microcell
2.8.4 Metrocell
2.8.5 Small Cells Trends and Developments

3 Chapter 3: Market Drivers, Barriers and Risks
3.1 Mobile Infrastructure Market Drivers
3.1.1 Smartphone and Tablet Proliferation
3.1.1.1 Strategic Choice for Operators: Reduce Cost per Mega Bit
3.1.1.2 Strategic Choice for Operators: Offer Subsidised and Affordable Smartphones
3.1.2 Mobile Subscription Growth
3.1.2.1 Strategic Choice for Operators: Upgrade to New Technologies and Architectures
3.1.3 Mobile Broadband Growth
3.1.3.1 Strategic Choice for Operators: Invest in Backhaul
3.1.4 Data Traffic Growth
3.1.4.1 Strategic Choice for Operators: Smarter Data offloading
3.1.5 Trend Summary
3.2 Barriers
3.2.1 A drop in CAPEX/Sales Ratio
3.2.2 Operators Embracing RAN Sharing
3.2.3 Operators are Finding Innovative Ways to Address Capacity Issues
3.3 Risks
3.3.1 Political, Social, Economic, Social and Environmental Threats
3.4 Summary of Driving and Resisting Forces
3.5 Business Case for Investments in New and Existing Technologies
3.5.1.1 Gain Operational Efficiencies through strategic Investments
3.5.1.2 Invest in Capacity for Increased Revenue Opportunities
3.5.1.3 Deliver Best User Experience
3.5.1.4 Reduce Competitive Threats
3.5.1.5 Target the M2M opportunities
3.5.1.6 Increase Customer Satisfaction
3.5.1.7 Capitalise on Differentiation Strategy
3.5.1.8 Evolve towards NG Networks

4 Chapter 4: Market Analysis and Forecasts
4.1 Market Definition
4.2 The Global 2G, 3G and 4G Wireless Infrastructure Market
4.3 2G (GSM and CDMA)
4.3.1 Market Assessment
4.3.2 Forecast
4.3.3 Market Opportunity Analysis
4.3.4 Summary
4.4 3G (WCDMA, TD-SCDMA and CDMA 2000)
4.4.1 Market Assessment
4.4.2 Forecast
4.4.3 Market Opportunity Analysis
4.4.4 Summary
4.5 4G (LTE and WiMax)
4.5.1 LTE Market Assessment
4.5.2 WiMAX Market Assessment
4.5.3 Forecast
4.5.4 4G Market Opportunity Analysis
4.5.5 Summary
4.6 RAN
4.6.1 RAN Market Assessment
4.6.2 Forecast
4.6.3 Market Opportunity Analysis
4.7 Small Cells
4.7.1 Market Assessment
4.7.2 Forecast
4.8 Mobile Core
4.8.1 Packet Core Market Assessment
4.8.2 Forecast
4.8.3 Market Opportunity Analysis
4.9 Backhaul
4.9.1 Market Assessment
4.9.2 Forecast
4.10 WiFi Market
4.10.1 Wi-Fi Market Assessment
4.10.2 Market Forecast
4.10.3 Wi-Fi Market Opportunity Analysis
4.11 Summary

5 Chapter 5: Regional 2G, 3G and 4G wireless Infrastructure Markets
5.1 North American Market
5.1.1 Market Dynamics
5.1.2 Forecast
5.2 Asia Pacific
5.2.1 Market Dynamics
5.2.2 Forecast
5.3 Western Europe
5.3.1 Market Dynamics
5.3.2 Forecast
5.4 Latin and Central America
5.4.1 Market Dynamics
5.4.2 Forecast
5.5 Eastern Europe
5.5.1 Market Dynamics
5.5.2 Forecast
5.6 Africa
5.6.1 Market Dynamics
5.6.2 Forecast
5.7 Middle East
5.7.1 Market Dynamics
5.7.2 Forecast
5.8 Summary

6 Chapter 6: Wireless Infrastructure Market Dynamics
6.1 Vendor Profiles
6.1.1 Ericsson
6.1.1.1 Portfolio
6.1.1.2 Strategy
6.1.1.3 Market Momentum
6.2 Alcatel Lucent
6.2.1 Portfolio
6.2.2 Strategy
6.2.3 Market Momentum
6.3 Huawei
6.3.1 Portfolio
6.3.2 Strategies
6.3.3 Market Momentum
6.4 ZTE
6.4.1 Portfolio
6.4.2 Strategies
6.4.3 Market Momentum
6.5 NSN
6.5.1 Strategies
6.5.2 Portfolio
6.5.3 Market Momentum
6.6 Samsung
6.6.1 Portfolio
6.6.2 Strategy
6.6.3 Market Momentum
6.7 Cisco
6.7.1 Portfolio
6.7.2 Strategy
6.7.3 Market Momentum
6.8 Alvarion
6.8.1 Portfolio
6.8.2 Strategy
6.8.3 Market Momentum
6.9 Acme Packet
6.9.1 Portfolio
6.9.2 Strategy
6.10 NEC
6.11 Fujitsu
6.12 BLiNQ
6.12.1 Market Momentum
6.13 Siklu
6.14 Vendor Outlook
6.15 Vendor Rankings

7 Chapter 7: Conclusion
7.1 SWOT Analysis
7.2 Recommendations for Operators
7.3 Recommendations for Infrastructure Vendors


List of Tables

Table 1: RAN Component Segmentation by Technology
Table 2: Backhaul Technologies
Table 3: Strategic Options for Operators
Table 4: RAN Revenues by Technology ($ billions) 2010-2017
Table 5: Barriers and Risks with WiMAX
Table 6: Key Small Cell Vendors
Table 7: Major Mobile Ethernet Backhaul Vendors
Table 8: Major Mobile Microwave Backhaul Vendors 8
Table 9: Asia Pacific Market Dynamics
Table 10: Leading Vendors by Key Technologies
Table 11: Vendor Ranking by H1 2012 Revenues
Table 12: Vendor Market Share 2010-2011
Table 13: SWOT Analysis

List of Figures

Figure 1: Key Wireless Technologies Used Across the Globe
Figure 2: 3GPP Wireless Technology Evolution
Figure 3: Global GSM Networks 1991 - 2011
Figure 4: Global GSM Subscription (Billions) 1991 - 2011
Figure 5: Global WCDMA and HSPA Subscription (Millions) 2010 - 2017
Figure 6: Global WCDMA Subscription (%) 2012
Figure 7: Global LTE Commercial Launches 2009-2012
Figure 8: Global Smartphone Shipment (Millions) 2009-2017
Figure 9: Global Mobile Handset vs. Smartphone Shipment (Millions) 2010-2017
Figure 10: Global Smartphone Subscribers as a Percentage of the Mobile Subscribers (Billions) 2010-2017
Figure 11: Global Mobile Subscriptions (Billions) 2009-2017
Figure 12: Global Mobile Traffic (Exabyte) 2011-2017
Figure 13: Global 2G, 3G and 4G Wireless Infrastructure Revenues ($Millions) 2010 - 2017
Figure 14: Global 2G Vs. 4G Wireless Infrastructure Revenues ($billions) 2011- 2017
Figure 15: Global Wireless RAN Revenues by Technology ($Billions) 2010 - 2017
Figure 16: Global Mobile Subscription by Technology (%) 2012
Figure 17: Global GSM RAN Revenues ($ Billions) 2010 - 2017
Figure 18: Global CDMA RAN Revenues (Billions) 2010 - 2017
Figure 19: Global GSM Spend (%) 2011-2017
Figure 20: Global WCDMA RAN Infrastructure Revenues (Billions) 2010 - 2017
Figure 21: TD-SCDMA RAN Revenues ($ Billions) 2010 - 2017
Figure 22: Global GSM and WCDMA RAN Revenues ($ Billions) 2010 - 2017
Figure 23: Global LTE RAN Infrastructure Revenues (Billions) 2010 - 2017
Figure 24: Global WiMAX RAN Revenues (Billions) 2010 - 2017
Figure 25: Global RAN Revenues by Technologies (%) 2011 - 2017
Figure 26: Global BTS Unit Shipment 2011 - 2017
Figure 27: Global Base Station Shipment by Region (%) 2011 - 2017
Figure 28: Small Cell Unit Shipments Revenue (USD Millions) 2011 - 2017
Figure 29: Small Cell Unit Shipments (Thousands of Unit Shipments) 2010-2017 by Cell Type
Figure 30: Small Cell Market Share by Vendors (%) 2010-2011
Figure 31: 3G/4G Small Cell Unit Shipments Revenue by Region (USD Millions) 2011 - 2017
Figure 32: Small Cell Unit Shipments (Thousands of Unit Shipments) 2011 - 2017 by Region
Figure 33: Evolved Packet Core Revenues ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 34: 3G Packet Core Revenues ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 35: HLR and MSC Revenues ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 36: Global Spending on Mobile Backhaul Equipment ($billion): 2011 - 2017
Figure 37: Mobile Microwave Backhaul Market Share by Vendors (%) 2010-2011
Figure 38: Mobile Backhaul Ethernet Market Share by Vendors (%) 2010-2011
Figure 39: Spending on Mobile Backhaul by Technology (%) 2017
Figure 40: Mobile Backhaul Market Revenues by Region ($ billions) 2011 - 2017
Figure 41: WiFi Offload Small Cell Infrastructure Market Share by Vendor: 2010-2011
Figure 42: 2G, 3G and 4G Wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues by Region ($Millions) 2011 - 2017
Figure 43: 2G, 3G and 4G Wirelesses Infrastructure Market Share Comparison (%) by Region 2012-2017
Figure 44: 2G, 3G and 4G Wirelesses Infrastructure Market Share by Region (%) 2012
Figure 45: 2G, 3G and 4G Wirelesses Infrastructure Market Share by Region (%) 2017
Figure 46: North American 2G, 3G and 4G wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues ($Million) 2010-2017
Figure 47: North American 2G/3G vs. 4G wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues ($Million) 2010-2017
Figure 48: North American 4G wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues ($Million) 2010-2017
Figure 49: North American wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues by Technology ($Million) 2010-2017
Figure 50: North American Core vs. RAN Wireless Infrastructure Revenues ($millions) 2010-2017
Figure 51: Asia Pacific 2G, 3G and 4G wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 52: Asia Pacific 2G/3G Vs. 4G wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 53: Asia Pacific RAN Vs. Core wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 54: Asia Pacific Wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues by Technology ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 55: Western Europe Wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 56: Western Europe 2G/3G vs. 4G Wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 57: Western Europe Wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues ($Million) by Technology 2011-2017
Figure 58: Western Europe RAN vs. Core Wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 59: Latin and Central America Wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 60: Latin and Central America 2G/3G vs. 4G Wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 61: Latin and Central America Wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues by Technology ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 62: Latin and Central America Core Vs. RAN Wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 63: Eastern Europe Wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 64: Eastern Europe 2G/3G vs. 4G Wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 65: Eastern Europe Wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues by Technology ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 66: Eastern Europe Core vs. RAN Wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 67: Africa Wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 68: Africa Wirelesses 2G/3G vs. 4G Infrastructure Revenues ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 69: Africa Wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues by Technology ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 70: Africa Wirelesses Core vs. RAN Infrastructure Revenues ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 71: Middle East Wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 72: Middle East 2G/3G Vs. 4G Wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 73: Middle East Wirelesses Infrastructure Revenues by Technology ($Million) 2011-2017
Figure 74: Vendor Market Share (%) 2010-2011 

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